Oregon (-8) @ Arizona State
Legit gambling rule for me: If Oregon is laying a touchdown or less and they are not playing a top 10 team, lay the friggin' points. Check the gifs below to see why this rule exists.
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| Because the Ducks go for 2 so often, 8 points = 7 |
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| Was this a forward pass? Whatever, Oregon gets this call anyway |
Home dogs! Nebraska has one win over a quality team and it came at home against Wisconsin. Other than perennial contenders Arkansas State and Idaho State, every team Nebraska's played has scored at least 20 points. The Cornhuskers are a long ways away from the days of Frank Solich, Tom Osborne, and their vaunted blackshirt defense. Northwestern is a quality team and every indication is that this game should be close.
Stanford (-3) vs California
I officially have no idea what to think of Stanford, which in a sick way, makes me want to bet them even more. I wonder if this has anything to do with my affinity for crazy chicks (which probably has to do with the fact that I probably have some screws loose upstairs too). Let's just move on before Dr. Phil shows up.
Texas Tech (-1.5) @ TCU
I've been on this bandwagon before the season even began. You think I'm jumping off after a week like the last one? No effing way! I'm crazy for Doege! Plus, any team who's mascot stares down an opposing player gets bonus points in my book.
Duke (+10.5) vs North Carolina
Rivalry game. Home team. Take the points. Rinse. Repeat.
Penn State (+3) @ Iowa
Iowa is coming off a very physical and emotional win against Michigan State. This game has "letdown" written all over it.
West Virginia (-3) vs Kansas State
The Mountaineers have officially replaced Clemson as my college football heroin addiction for 2012. I woke up at 4 am last night sitting at my computer. When I looked up I saw a betting ticket for West Virginia and I had a 2,000 page word document with line after line that read "All work and no play makes Geno cover the spread all day." I should probably try and get more sleep. And stop doing heroin too. That might help.
No truth to the rumor that this was me after Vandy failed to cover last week
Oregon (-2) @ Arizona State
Ohio State (-13) vs Purdue
A great man once said "Purdue sucks. That is all." Heed that brilliant man's words.
(7 point teaser)
Oregon (-1) @ Arizona State
South Carolina (+10.5) @ Florida
Even if Marcus Lattimore doesn't play, I still like South Carolina to keep this close. Their defense is for real and Jadeveon Clowney might be the best defensive end in the nation. Florida's East-West option offense is a great matchup for his speed and athleticism. Look for him to wreak havoc on Saturday night.
(7 point teaser)
Iowa State (+21) @ Oklahoma State
Texas A&M (+10.5) vs LSU
Other than beating Savannah State and Louisiana Lafayette by a combined score of 149 to 24, what has Oklahoma State done to justify such continuous high spreads? Joseph Randle is a stud in the backfield but we are talking about a team who's best win is a 20-14 squeaker against Charlie Weis' pathetic Jayhawks. For A&M, this is more of a hunch than anything. Kevin Sumlin is an intense dude in the mold of Mike Tomlin and he should have the Aggies primed and ready for this game. LSU's offense is pitiful so that alone should keep A&M in the game.
(6 point teaser)
Ohio State (-12.5) vs Purdue
Louisville (-0.5) vs South Florida
South Florida was everyone's favorite sleeper this year. Losses at Ball State and Temple emptied the bandwagon and now all we need is for Louisville to set it on fire and dump it into the river.
(10 point teaser)
Alabama (-10) @ Tennessee
Notre Dame (-3.5) vs BYU
Boston College (+24) @ Georgia Tech
It physically pains me to bet on those savages down in Chestnut Hill. My best case scenario for this game is a 23-0 win by the Yellow Jackets. Ugh.
Green Bay (-6) @ St. Louis
In my opinion, St. Louis is one of the premier good bad teams in the NFL (and I don't mean Bill Simmons' definition of that phrase where any team other than the top 3 in the NFL qualifies, I mean bad as in, picking inside the top 12 bad). The good bad teams can always be counted on to keep games close against the middle of the road teams in the NFL. For all the Packers' struggles this year, they are not a middle of the road team. Rodgers found his groove last week. I like Green Bay on the fast track in the dome in St. Louis.
Dallas (-2) @ Carolina
Other than a win over Drew Brees this year, here are the quarterbacks that Cam Newton has defeated:
- Blaine Gabbert
- John Beck
- Curtis Painter
- Josh Johnson
- T.J. Yates
- Josh Freeman
I would be the 5th best quarterback on that list. Dallas has their issues but Carolina is still stinky.
Indianapolis (-2.5) vs Cleveland
Think Andrew Luck still has last year's Fiesta Bowl in the back of his head? Look for him to exact some revenge against Brandon Weeden this week.
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| "Congratulations on reaching the pinnacle of your career, I look forward to buying insurance from you in four years" |
If Buffalo is playing anyone who has a moderately competent defense, don't go anywhere near them. Luckily for the Bills, they play a team that is giving up 34 points per game. Buffalo can win shootouts at home against crappy teams, and Tennessee is crappiest of the crappy.
(6 point teaser)
Green Bay (PK) @ St. Louis
San Francisco (-1.5) vs Seattle
I thought the 49ers were going to kill Seattle last night. Luckily for me I was just right enough.
(Parlay)
San Francisco (-6) vs Seattle
Green Bay (-6) @ St. Louis
Houston (-6) vs Baltimore
Expect a rough couple of weeks for Baltimore while they search for an identity after losing 3 of their best players. Good luck degens. Have a good weekend.
Last Week
College: 6-8
NFL: 3-2
Season
College: 36-53-1
NFL: 22-20-0
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