Football Friday Part 2

Ahhhhhhhhhhh. Sorry, I'm still basking in the glow of sweet revenge from last night. Hanging the worst opening loss ever on the defending Super Bowl champs, scoring the most points against the Ravens than anyone ever has, and putting John Harbaugh under .500 for the first time in his career won't heal the massive wound leftover from January, but it sure helps. Now it's time to refocus on the money maker: college football. I couldn't get a good read on some of these matchups, so I gravitated towards a lot of over/unders, and bought a half point in a couple spots just to be safe. Let's get to it.

Texas (-8) @ BYU
$330 to win $300
Texas is for real, so grab this line while you can. After this weekend, you won't find them giving less than ten for a while.

Cincinnati (-9.5) @ Illinois
$330 to win $300
Cincinnati beat Purdue 42-7 while Illinois struggled to beat Southern Illinois last week, so the Bearcats have clearly established that they have to capability to demolish embarrassingly awful Big 10 teams.

South Carolina @ Georgia UNDER 56.5 points
$330 to win $300
Losing Malcolm Mitchell was a death blow to Georgia's offense. They still have some talent on the outside, but Mitchell was the guy who kept the safeties away from the line of scrimmage and Todd Gurley. I expect a lot of running in this game. We're going to look up at one point and collectively say "holy crap! It's the 3rd quarter already?"

South Carolina (+4) @ Georgia
$240 to win $200
South Carolina has demonstrated an ability to stop the run under Steve Spurrier while the Bulldogs have been spotty under Mark Richt. Plus, if Georgia starts out slow, this home game could get real ugly. UGA fans are calling into radio stations and weeping because of the Richt regime. A loss will seal his fate, and I think a good deal of Bulldog fans would trade one game to get Richt out of Athens at this point. There's too much drama and uncertainty surrounding this team. Spurrier will look to pounce early and take advantage of the widespread resentment in Georgia.

Wake Forest @ Boston College UNDER 48 points
$220 to win $200
Boston College struggled to beat Villanova last week, a school I remember crushing year in and year out when UMass was back in the FCS. This is the football equivalent of a Nerf gun fight. The team that gets in its own way the least will win. Plus, I always enjoy betting against Boston College in some way, shape, or form.

Toledo @ Missouri OVER 66 points
$220 to win $200
Mizzou's offense is legit. James Franklin is accurate, can run, and has two top notch wide receivers. You'll see them in a few over bets this season.

Syracuse @ Northwestern UNDER 53 points
$220 to win $200
Northwestern's pointsplosion last week was aided by two defensive touchdowns while Syracuse capably defended an average Big 10 offense in Penn State. I think this will be close (not the outcome of the game, the bet, I have no idea what will happen in the game, hence the no bet), but it will just edge under.

Oregon @ Virginia OVER 63 points
$220 to win $200
At one point last week, Oregon was averaging about 20 seconds in between plays. I think any total against this team in the 60's is too low.

Michigan (-4.5) vs Notre Dame
$230 to win $200
I learned my lesson last week betting against Big Blue. Brady Hoke is a damn good coach and Devin Gardner is a better quarterback than Denard Robinson. I like the Irish, but I just can't bring myself to bet on Tommy Rees on the road (or as I like to call him, a poor man's Brady Quinn). Michigan wins 27-14.

Florida (-3) @ Miami
$260 to win $200
When a running offense from the SEC squares off against a running offense from another conference, it's very hard for me to pick against the SEC team. The difference between the SEC and the rest of the divisions lies in the speed and athleticism of their big guys, and that tempers the explosiveness of a run game. A handful of big plays swing most football games, and I think Florida's defense will do a better job of limiting them than Miami's.

Parlay
Cincinnati (-9.5)
South Carolina @ Georgia UNDER 56.5 points
Texas (-8)
$250 to win $1,500

Parlay
Cincinnati (-300) to win
South Carolina (+140) to win
Texas (-280) to win
South Carolina @ Georgia UNDER 56.5 points
Wake Forest @ Boston College UNDER 48 points
$270 to win $4,000
I'm a big proponent of getting the ball to the hot hand in basketball. I hit my first parlay of the year and now have a few more in the oven this weekend. I'm simply trying to see if last week is a fluke, or if I stumbled into a hot streak. If I hit any of these, next week is going to get wacky.

6 Point Teaser
Michigan (+1.5)
Texas (-2)
$330 to win $300
Love these two teams this week.

6.5 Point Teaser
Cincinnati (-3)
Florida (+3)
$240 to win $200

7 Point Teaser
South Carolina (+10.5)
Wake Forest @ Boston College UNDER 55 points
$130 to win $100
I'm getting better with limiting the number of teasers and parlays, but if I start to lose them en masse, I might have to purge teasers entirely from my bets. Have a good weekend everyone.

Total Risked: $3,820 ($7,424 with NFL)
Max Win: $8,400 ($15,600 with NFL)
Max Win Minus Parlays: $2,900 ($5,600 with NFL)
Percentage of Bankroll Risked: 4.2% (8.16% with NFL)
Remaining Bankroll: $90,990


Last Week
NCAA Only
Record: 11-7 (8-4 ATS)
Profit: $2,745